Week 7 QB Rankings, Projections and Analysis
Week 7 Quarterback Sleepers
Week 7 Start N' Sit
Week 8 Waiver Wire Tips





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Packers QB Aaron Rodgers

By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
This is how we rank the QBs for Week 7 of the fantasy season. Our rankings aren't just based on name value or past performance - each week we take a comprehensive look at the match-ups and each QBs past performance and factor that into our projections. Just click on the links to read our rationale behind the ranking. The ratings are based on a standard league where 25 passing yards equal 1 point, passing and rushing TDs equal 6 pts. and INTs or fumbles deduct 2 points.



QB Rankings
  1. Aaron Rodgers
  2. Andrew Luck
  3. Tom Brady
  4. Matt Stafford
  5. Joe Flacco
  6. Peyton Manning
  7. Russell Wilson
  8. Andy Dalton
  9. * Carson Palmer
  10. Philip Rivers
  11. Colin Kaepernick
  12. Jay Cutler
  13. Brian Hoyer
  14. * Tony Romo
  15. Ben Roethlisberger
  16. Cam Newton
  17. Matt Ryan
  18. Drew Brees
  19. Derek Carr
  20. Austin Davis
  21. Kirk Cousins
  22. * Jake Locker
  23. Blake Bortles
  24. Kyle Orton
  25. Alex Smith
  26. * Ryan Tannehill
  27. Eli Manning
  28. Ryan Fitzpatrick
  29. Teddy Bridgewater
  30. Geno Smith
* Check the player's injury status prior to gametime!
Colts QB Andrew Luck

By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
Paying attention to the match-ups each week can help you identify less heralded players with the upside to surprise and help you avoid some potential land mines. This is our list of players we expect to surpass expectations, along with a few stud QBs who may fail to deliver:

Start
Andrew Luck
Colts QB Andrew Luck
It may seem really bizarre that I'm bothering to tell you to start Andrew Luck but there will probably be a few fantasy owners who haven't checked the stats lately and may be tempted to sit Luck based on what they think is a very tough match-up against a Bengals team that allowed just 11 points a game to opponents prior to their bye in Week 3. But a lot has changed since then, a whole lot. Teams have figured out they can run all over Cincinnati and this has opened up the passing game. Michael Johnson, who was an elite run-stopping DE, left in free agency and the team has been without their star MLB, Vontaze Burfict. Burfict was back last week but it didn't make a difference, as the Bengals didn't have an answer for Cam Newton, who carved up their defense to the tune of 107 yards rushing and 284 yards through the air, while scoring 3 TDs. Over the last two games, the Bengal defense has allowed 943 yards and an astounding 80 points. Look for more of the same in Week 7 and make sure you start Luck this week.

Peyton Manning
Broncos QB Peyton Manning
Continuing in the same vein, I may be stating the obvious but don't even think of sitting Peyton Manning this week. You may be tempted to play the match-ups, if you just blindly look at the stats. The Niners have allowed just 13.1 fantasy points a game so far this year, which trails only the Lions but you know the old saying: "garbage in, garbage out" and this is a case where you really have to take a closer look at the data. A big reason their DST has been so stingy is they haven't faced many good quarterbacks yet this year. They played against a hobbled, rusty Tony Romo in Week One; a back-up (Drew Stanton) in Week 3, a caretaker (Alex Smith) in Week 5, and a rookie (Austin Davis) in Week 6. The only QBs of note they've faced this year are Jay Cutler, who tore them apart in the 2nd half of a Week 2 loss, and Nick Foles, who's hasn't been the guy who threw for 27 TDs and just 2 INTs last year. Don't be afraid to roll with Peyton this Sunday.


Sit
Drew Brees
Saints QB Drew Brees
The Saints offense isn't nearly as effective when they play away from the Superdome and Brees' stats tend to suffer accordingly. His career record on the road is just a smidgen over .500 and he's thrown 58 less TDs in his 96 road starts compared to his home games. This week they play the NFL's top-ranked defense at Ford Field and Brees should have his work cut out for him facing Detroit's variety of stunts and blitzes. I expect he'll get well acquainted with Mr. Ziggy Ansah and Mr. Ndamukang Suh, who should keep him under duress much of the day. Even with Mark Ingram back, I don't see New Orleans backs having much success, which means the Lions' D-line should be able to pin their ears back. I advise you to sit Brees this week if you have another option.

Matt Ryan
Falcons QB Matt Ryan
Finesse teams like the Falcons just don't seem to hold up well when they face more physical AFC North opponents and there's probably no team playing better right now than the Baltimore Ravens. Ryan's career passer rating in games against AFC North teams is a pedestrian 83.4 and he played his worst game of the season against the Bengals in Week 2, throwing for just 231 yards with 1 TD and 3 picks. M&T Bank stadium is one of the loudest, most difficult stadiums for opposing quarterbacks to play in. The Ravens are on a tear right now and I just don't see Matty R. having one of his better games this week.


Derek Carr
Raiders QB Derek Carr
Carr has experienced the typical ups and downs of a rookie quarterback but is starting to put it together and has two receivers at his disposal, in Andre Holmes and James Jones, who've emerged as viable downfield threats. The Raiders' opponent this week, the Cardinals, have been surprisingly vulnerable against the pass this year and are allowing 18.9 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks. They'll probably be without their star pass-rush specialist, Calais Campbell, for another week, so if your QB1 has a bye week, this Carr might be worth driving.

Brian Hoyer
Browns QB Brian Hoyer
When the season started it was widely believed that Hoyer was just keeping the seat warm for Johnny Manziel. Cleveland had a brutal schedule to start the season and it looked like the perfect setup for Hoyer to flame out and Johnny Football to step in and be the savior everybody expected him to be. Well, fast-forward to Week 7 and Hoyer's played so well, he's now entrenched as the starter, and all the talk about Johnny Football has pretty much dissipated. While Hoyer's fantasy stats haven't been that flashy, since Cleveland hasn't asked him to carry the team, this may be a week to put him in your starting line-up. The Browns face a woeful Jaguars defense that's allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, and since the games in Jacksonville, there's at least a chance the game stays close and Hoyer gets to do something other than hand-off every play in the second half.


Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill

By Greg Buchphoto of journalist Greg Buch
Greg develops and updates FFSwami's website. He's played in various fantasy football leagues the last 15 years and is a life-long Cincinnati Bengals fan.
Don't get too discouraged if your draft didn't work out as you planned. Fantasy success isn't the exclusive result of a solid draft - often it's the in-season waiver wire moves that determines who makes it to the post-season. We've got some hot tips for you that should help you improve your roster and catch up to those lucky sons-of-guns who always seem to draft the right players:

Must Adds

Ryan Tannehill
Tannehill threw for 277 yards and 2 TDs against a mediocre Bears defense that ranks just 19th against the pass and added another 48 yards on the ground. It was his third straight game with 2 or more TDs and he has a very favorable match-up coming up against a Jaguars team that allows 280 passing yards a game and gives up 19 fantasy points a contest to opposing QBs, the 5th-most in the league. He's got another favorable match-up in Week 9 at home against the Chargers, who've been allowing 17.7 points a game to QBs, so he's worth picking up for this 2-game stretch if you're in need of a quarterback. He's currently owned in 49% of NFL.com leagues but in a meagre 12% of ESPN leagues, so may or may not be available.

Robert Griffin III
RGIII's not expected back until Week 9 but if you're in need of a quarterback, it would be smart to add him now and stash him on your bench. Cousins, who was pulled at halftime in favor of journeyman Colt McCoy, has failed to convince anyone he's a better answer for the Redskins offense, so I expect McCoy will just be keeping the seat warm for Griffin III until he's able to return to the field. The mobile quarterback would have a very favorable match-up against a Vikings team that leads the league in points allowed to QBs, but don't be surprised if Coach Gruden decides to give the franchise quarterback an additional week of rest, given the fact they have a bye coming up the following week.

Carson Palmer
Palmer had a solid albeit unspectacular performance against the Raiders, throwing for 253 yards with 2 TDs and just 1 interception. He's thrown for two or more TDs in all three of his appearances this year and has a favorable match-up coming against an Eagles defense that ranks 10th against the pass and has been allowing the 7th-most fantasy points to opposing QBs. He's worth picking up as a spot starter for his next two games, as he follows up the Eagles game with a road trip to Dallas, which has allowed 21.1 fantasy points a game to quarterbacks.

Don't Believe the Hype

Colt McCoy
Go ahead and pick him up if you're desperate for a quarterback. He does have a nice match-up against a Cowboys defense that's been allowing bucketfuls of points to opposing QBs. Just don't add him because you think that starting gig might still be there once RGIII returns. That's not going to happen. He's height-impaired, which causes a lot of passes to get batted down at the LOS, and lacks the mobility to compensate. If he was truly a starting caliber quarterback, I seriously doubt he'd be on his third team in 3 years. Just repeat after me: "third-string quarterback for the Washington Redskins, third string quarterback...".

Drops

Eli Manning
Eli had an exceptional game on the road in Dallas, throwing for 248 yards and 3 TDs in a losing effort. Now he has a bye week, so considering how uneven his play has been and the fact he's lost his top receiver for the year, you really weren't thinking of stashing him on your bench for a week, were you? Despite the fact he's currently the 11th-highest scoring fantasy quarterback, his uneven play and prospects going forward without Victor Cruz in the line-up make him waiver wire fodder, only worth adding when the match-up is right. Free up some space and drop him this week.